What 92.76% Means
Of the 290 setup windows that had fully elapsed by the audit date, 269 traded above their recorded LONG signal reference price at least once before their evaluation window expired.
GFWS Verified History
Track Record
Directional Reaction Methodology
GFWS is an opportunity scanner, not an automated execution system. This record measures whether the market traded in the predicted direction after a signal was issued, within a timeframe-specific evaluation window.
The result does not represent an executed portfolio, trading profit, stop-loss performance, or guaranteed future outcome.
- Data period
- 2 May 2026 – 27 June 2026
- Last updated
- 27 June 2026
Main Result
92.76%
Directional Reaction Rate — Closed Windows
Closed windows only
269 of 290 fully evaluated GFWS setup windows traded above their signal reference price at least once within the timeframe-specific evaluation window.
Recorded Alerts
695
Unique Setups
338
Correct Reactions So Far
305 / 338
90.24%
Open Evaluation Windows
48
By Timeframe
Results by Timeframe
Each setup is evaluated using a window appropriate to the timeframe on which the signal was detected.
15M1 day
- Setups
- 63
- Correct Reactions
- 60 / 63
- Correct Reaction Rate
- 95.24%
- Closed Windows
- 56
- Successful Closed
- 53 / 56
- Closed Window Rate
- 94.64%
1H3 days
- Setups
- 157
- Correct Reactions
- 144 / 157
- Correct Reaction Rate
- 91.72%
- Closed Windows
- 153
- Successful Closed
- 140 / 153
- Closed Window Rate
- 91.50%
4H10 days
- Setups
- 99
- Correct Reactions
- 87 / 99
- Correct Reaction Rate
- 87.88%
- Closed Windows
- 81
- Successful Closed
- 76 / 81
- Closed Window Rate
- 93.83%
1D90 days
- Setups
- 19
- Correct Reactions
- 14 / 19
- Correct Reaction Rate
- 73.68%
- Closed Windows
- 0
- Successful Closed
- Not yet available
- Closed Window Rate
- Pending
No 90-day evaluation windows have closed yet.
Methodology
How the Directional Reaction Methodology Works
A GFWS signal identifies a potentially significant market situation. It does not prescribe a fixed entry, exit, stop-loss, position size, or holding period.
For a LONG signal, a directional reaction is recorded when the market trades above the signal's recorded reference price at least once after the signal was issued and before its timeframe-specific evaluation window expires.
15M
1 day
1H
3 days
4H
10 days
1D
90 days
01
Exact signal timestamp
Only market movement after the recorded signal timestamp is evaluated.
02
One continuing setup
Repeated alerts from the same continuing market situation are merged into one unique setup.
03
First recorded reference price
The first eligible signal in the continuing setup establishes the reference price.
04
Closed versus open windows
A setup is included in the Closed Window Rate only after its complete evaluation window has elapsed.
05
Directional reaction, not executed profit
The metric measures whether the market reacted in the predicted direction. It does not calculate portfolio profit, transaction costs, slippage, stop-loss execution, or position sizing.
06
PREDICTION and PREDICTION+
PREDICTION+ is a stricter confirmation layer. It must be recorded separately from the original PREDICTION reference price when sufficient data becomes available.
What 92.76% Does Not Mean
It is not a simulated portfolio return, executed trade win rate, profit guarantee, recommendation to buy, or proof that every trader could capture the measured market reaction.
Audit
Download the Audit
Download the machine-readable audit containing the published summary, timeframe results, methodology, evaluation windows, and disclosure notes.
Audit version: GFWS-DIRECTIONAL-REACTION-2026-06-27
Important Disclosure
GFWS provides market analytics and identifies potentially relevant market situations. The Track Record measures historical directional market reactions after recorded signals. It does not represent executed trades, an investment portfolio, personalized financial advice, guaranteed profitability, or future performance.
Past market reactions do not guarantee future outcomes. Users remain responsible for their own analysis, timing, execution, position sizing, and risk management.